Post
by kthulhu » Mon Jan 20, 2003 3:42 pm
Something I posted on the Bebop forum:
North Korea does not have missiles that can reach the US mainland. They do, however, have rockets that can reach Tokyo and Seoul, as well as conventional artillery capable of shelling Seoul in minutes and at least a million troops near the 38th Parallel, which could pretty easily mop up the 38,000 troops we have stationed there, as well as many South Korean forces. China may also get involved on the North's side if the shit hits the fan.
The big issue is how powerful their nukes are (not terribly, compared to other nuclear powers, but vaporizing one city with one bomb is bad enough), and what they will do with them. They do not have the capability of raining down worldwide devastation on their own like NATO, Russia, (and I think) China does, but they can act as a spark hitting the powderkeg's fuse. There is also the issue of them possibly selling nukes to terrorist groups, which is a more frightening thought.
The question is, how to proceed? A military invasion could cause them to at least start shelling the South, and maybe even launch a missile at Seoul - not good. Diplomacy may be the best way, but right now the North seems to be in an extortionary/sabre rattling state. The South isn't really helping matters with its anti-American protests (over a military vehicle ACCIDENT that killed two girls recently, as well as just the usual angst).
The thing to hope for, I suppose, is that all sides will see the potential for bloody death and madness on the Korean peninsula (and in Asia in general), and calm things down peacefully (although hopefully not with more aid appeasement for the North). Still, how reasonable Kim Jong Il is, is open to speculation, considering that he rules a nation that has been brainwashed into an almost cult like state, has what is probably the biggest collection of Daffy Duck cartoons in the world in what is close to the the biggest personal video collection in the world, and lives like a king while most of his population isn't getting enough to eat or are in concentration camps (upwards of two million people), with conditions and treatment equalling and at times, seeming to surpass, those in Nazi Germany.
Communism fails again.
I'm out...